Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu: prediction and stats
Liga E PareRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Xhevat Jusufi, Mitrovicë
The Footlab AI model makes Istogu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Trepça Mitrovicë. The most likely score is 1-1. If Istogu wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Trepça Mitrovicë (1,424) and Istogu (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trepça Mitrovicë
Not enough data to predict the Trepça Mitrovicë lineup.
Istogu
Not enough data to predict the Istogu lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trepça Mitrovicë have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Istogu have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vjosa(away) | 2-2 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trepça'89(home) | 1-3 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ferizaj(away) | 0-2 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Liria Prizren(home) | 0-1 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Prishtina e Re(away) | 0-2 | Liga E Pare |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dinamo Ferizaj(home) | 2-0 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Mitrovica(away) | 0-1 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ramiz Sadiku(home) | 1-0 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 2 Korriku(away) | 0-1 | Liga E Pare |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vëllaznimi(home) | 3-2 | Liga E Pare |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Trepça Mitrovicë wins, 0 draws, 0 Istogu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Istogu 2-3 Trepça Mitrovicë | Liga E Pare |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Trepça Mitrovicë 4-1 Istogu | Liga E Pare |
Last archived meeting: Istogu vs Trepça Mitrovicë on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Trepça Mitrovicë score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Istogu score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trepça Mitrovicë | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Istogu | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trepça Mitrovicë sit 15th in Liga E Pare (12 points from 13 matches) and Istogu sit 11th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Istogu | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 19 |
| 15 | Trepça Mitrovicë | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 12 |
A question about Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Istogu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Trepça Mitrovicë.
- Where and when is Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu played?
- Trepça Mitrovicë vs Istogu is played on November 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Xhevat Jusufi, in the Liga E Pare.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.