Treze vs Vila Nova: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 20, 2013 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro, Campina Grande, Paraíba
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What was the result of Treze vs Vila Nova?
Treze won 1-0 on October 20, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 68′Wanderson Soares de SouzaTreze
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treze have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Vila Nova have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2013 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 2-5 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 15, 2013 | CRB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Macaé(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Caxias(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Ipatinga(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Madureira(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Treze score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treze | 1.6 | 1.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Vila Nova | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy