Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, Třinec
The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Arsenal Česká Lípa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Třinec (1,946) and Arsenal Česká Lípa (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Třinec have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Arsenal Česká Lípa have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Baník Ostrava II(away) | 1-0 | FNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karviná(home) | 2-5 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(away) | 3-3 | FNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(home) | 1-1 | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Česká Lípa score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa?
- The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Arsenal Česká Lípa.
- Where and when is Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa played?
- Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.