Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, Třinec
The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Baník Ostrava II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Třinec (1,945) and Baník Ostrava II (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Třinec have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Baník Ostrava II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 4-1 | FNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Táborsko(home) | 1-2 | FNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kladno(away) | 0-1 | FNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vlašim(home) | 2-2 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Třinec win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Baník Ostrava II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | Baník Ostrava II 2-0 Třinec | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Třinec 2-3 Baník Ostrava II | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Baník Ostrava II 5-2 Třinec | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava II vs Třinec on Nov 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baník Ostrava II | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II?
- The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Baník Ostrava II.
- Where and when is Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II played?
- Třinec vs Baník Ostrava II is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.