Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 14, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Tripoli Municipal Stadium, Tarabulus
The Footlab AI model makes Al Nejmeh the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Tripoli SC. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,323 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh?
Al Nejmeh is a heavy favourite: 1,696 Elo points against 1,306, a 390-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tripoli SC
4-3-3- GGerônimo
- FFoad Eid
- AAlaa Ezo
- SSuleiman Abu Zam'a
- GGhazi Hussien
- MMohammad Al Zahed
- TTaha Hussain
- MMohamad Korhani
- AAbd Al Razaq Dakramanji
- AA. Innocent
- AAhmad Qarhani
Al Nejmeh
4-3-3- 49I. Gbadamosi
- 17R. Michael
- 11Mohamad Kassas
- 10Mohamad Haidar
- 20H. Kourani
- 19H. Jaafar
- 18Kassem Al Zein
- 5Khalil Khamis
- 6Hussein Al Zein
- 28Abdelaziz Kneni
- 95Mostafa Matar
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tripoli SC have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Al Nejmeh have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Safa(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Hikma(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tadamon Sour(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 3-1 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wathba(away) | 1-2 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tripoli SC wins, 3 draws, 3 Al Nejmeh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | Tripoli SC 1-2 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Al Nejmeh 2-0 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Tripoli SC 1-1 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Tripoli SC 0-0 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Tripoli SC 0-0 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Tripoli SC 0-3 Al Nejmeh | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh on Oct 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Tripoli SC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Nejmeh score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tripoli SC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Nejmeh | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tripoli SC sit 6th in Premier League (7 points from 6 matches) and Al Nejmeh sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tripoli SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Nejmeh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Nejmeh the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Tripoli SC.
- Where and when is Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh played?
- Tripoli SC vs Al Nejmeh is played on December 14, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Tripoli Municipal Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.