Match

Tritium vs Caldiero Terme: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

TritiumCaldiero Terme

The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Tritium. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Caldiero Terme?

Caldiero Terme starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,528).

16%21%63%
Tritium winDrawCaldiero Terme win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tritium vs Caldiero Terme

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tritium

Not enough data to predict the Tritium lineup.

Caldiero Terme

Not enough data to predict the Caldiero Terme lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Caldiero Terme have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Virtus Verona(away)0-2Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Club Milano(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Villa Valle(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 3, 2026Chievo(away)0-5Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Caldiero Terme
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Piacenza(away)1-3Serie D - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Pro Palazzolo(away)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Oct 7, 2026Este(away)2-0Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Nibbiano & Valtidone(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Fiorenzuola(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tritium wins, 0 draws, 2 Caldiero Terme wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 21, 2024Tritium 0-2 Caldiero TermeSerie D - Girone B
Sep 24, 2023Caldiero Terme 2-0 TritiumSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Caldiero Terme on Jan 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caldiero Terme score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tritium0.92.019/157/15
Caldiero Terme1.81.4411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tritium sit 18th in Serie D - Girone B (2 points from 7 matches) and Caldiero Terme sit 4th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Caldiero Terme733112912
18Tritium70257162

A question about Tritium vs Caldiero Terme?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Caldiero Terme?
The Footlab AI model makes Caldiero Terme the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Tritium.
Where and when is Tritium vs Caldiero Terme played?
Tritium vs Caldiero Terme is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tritium and Caldiero Terme

Ready to know everything about football?