Troon FC vs Celtic II: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Celtic II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troon FC vs Celtic II?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Troon FC (1,610) and Celtic II (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Troon FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Celtic II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 5-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Celtic II | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troon FC sit 13th in Football League - Lowland League (9 points from 6 matches) and Celtic II sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtic II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troon FC vs Celtic II?
- The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 44%, against 21% for a draw and 34% for Celtic II.
- Where and when is Troon FC vs Celtic II played?
- Troon FC vs Celtic II is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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