Match

TSV St. Johann vs Gurten: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 25Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz St. Johann, St. Johann im Pongau

TSV St. JohannGurten

The Footlab model makes Gurten the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for TSV St. Johann. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TSV St. Johann vs Gurten?

Gurten starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,534).

TSV St. Johann win25 %
Draw26 %
Gurten win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV St. Johann have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Gurten have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TSV St. Johann
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Wallern / Marienkirchen(away)0-4Regionalliga - North
Aug 14, 2026Pinzgau Saalfelden(home)2-1Regionalliga - North
Aug 11, 2026Kuchl(home)0-2Regionalliga - North
Aug 8, 2026LASK Juniors(home)2-0Regionalliga - North
Jul 31, 2026Grödig(away)0-3Regionalliga - North
Gurten
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Grödig(away)0-1Regionalliga - North
Aug 14, 2026SK Vorwarts Steyr(home)3-1Regionalliga - North
Aug 11, 2026Leonfelden(away)5-2Regionalliga - North
Aug 7, 2026Bad Schallerbach(home)2-0Regionalliga - North
Aug 1, 2026UFC Hallein(away)2-3Regionalliga - North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 TSV St. Johann win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gurten win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 16, 2016TSV St. Johann 0-3 GurtenCup

Last archived meeting: TSV St. Johann vs Gurten on Jul 16, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

TSV St. Johann score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gurten score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TSV St. Johann1.31.545/157/15
Gurten1.91.177/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TSV St. Johann sit 9th in Regionalliga - North (6 points from 5 matches) and Gurten sit 3rd (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Gurten53021279
9TSV St. Johann52034106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TSV St. Johann vs Gurten?
The Footlab model makes Gurten the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for TSV St. Johann.
Where and when is TSV St. Johann vs Gurten played?
TSV St. Johann vs Gurten is played on May 1, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz St. Johann, in the Regionalliga - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: TSV St. Johann and Gurten

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