Tuen Mun FC vs Kwai Tsing: result 1-3 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 26, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Po Kong Village Road Park 2, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Tuen Mun FC vs Kwai Tsing?
Kwai Tsing won 1-3 on January 26, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tuen Mun FC have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Kwai Tsing have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | Kwun Tong(away) | 0-6 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Double Flower(home) | 2-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Wong Tai Sin(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Wanchai(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 21, 2013 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | Wing Yee(away) | 5-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 10, 2013 | Shatin(home) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tuen Mun FC score 1.4 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kwai Tsing score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuen Mun FC | 1.4 | 3.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Kwai Tsing | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tuen Mun FC | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 75 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy