Tupi vs Guaratinguetá: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 3Kick-off on May 10, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Radialista Mário Helênio, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Tupi vs Guaratinguetá?
Tupi won 1-0 on May 10, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 78′Henrique Loureiro dos SantosTupi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tupi have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2014 | Juventude(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Juventude(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Juventude(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| Oct 6, 2013 | Mixto(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Mogi Mirim(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Parana(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Nov 15, 2013 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tupi score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tupi | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy