Turkey W vs Slovenia W: prediction and stats
World Cup - Women - Qualification EuropeSemi-finalsKick-off on October 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, Sivas
The Footlab model makes Turkey W the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Slovenia W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turkey W vs Slovenia W?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Turkey W (1,562) and Slovenia W (1,551).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Turkey W have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Slovenia W have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Malta W(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Northern Ireland W(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Switzerland W(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Switzerland W(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Northern Ireland W(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Germany W(home) | 0-2 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Austria W(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Norway W(home) | 2-3 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Norway W(away) | 0-5 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Austria W(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Turkey W win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Slovenia W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Turkey W 0-1 Slovenia W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Slovenia W 3-0 Turkey W | UEFA Nations League - Women |
| Sep 18, 2020 | Slovenia W 3-1 Turkey W | UEFA Championship - Women |
| Oct 8, 2019 | Turkey W 1-6 Slovenia W | UEFA Championship - Women |
Last archived meeting: Turkey W vs Slovenia W on Apr 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Turkey W score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Slovenia W score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey W | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Slovenia W | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Turkey W sit 2nd in World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe (13 points from 6 matches) and Slovenia W sit 4th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Turkey W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turkey W vs Slovenia W?
- The Footlab model makes Turkey W the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Slovenia W.
- Where and when is Turkey W vs Slovenia W played?
- Turkey W vs Slovenia W is played on October 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at BG Group 4 Eylül Stadyumu, in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.