Turku PS vs Ilves: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on November 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Veritas Stadion, Åbo
The Footlab AI model makes Ilves the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Turku PS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilves wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turku PS vs Ilves?
Ilves starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Turku PS vs Ilves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Turku PS
4-2-3-1- 44N. Veinbergs
- 10M. Könkkölä
- 28T. Vakiparta
- 29A. Muzaci
- 22T. Zaal
- 26L. Ikonen
- 14M. Hrádecký
- 25Abdoulie Tamba
- 20M. Kauppila
- 15C. Azongnitode
- 1E. Henriksson
Ilves
3-4-2-1- 9T. Hytönen
- 13K. Wallius
- 22O. Multala
- 14A. Popovitch
- 19Goudouss Bamba
- 28J. Kilo
- 33Y. Sacko
- 24V. Kumpu
- 3M. Rale
- 16T. Miettunen
- 12F. Krkalić
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Turku PS have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ilves have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lahti(away) | 1-5 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FF Jaro(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ilves(home) | 0-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mariehamn(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | SJK(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | SJK(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mariehamn(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turku PS(away) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 3-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | FF Jaro(home) | 2-0 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Turku PS wins, 0 draws, 6 Ilves wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turku PS 0-3 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Turku PS 1-3 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ilves 1-0 Turku PS | Veikkausliiga |
| May 27, 2026 | Ilves 1-0 Turku PS | Suomen Cup |
| Apr 26, 2023 | Turku PS 0-2 Ilves | Suomen Cup |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Ilves 2-0 Turku PS | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Turku PS score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ilves score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turku PS | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilves | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Turku PS vs Ilves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turku PS vs Ilves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilves the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Turku PS.
- Where and when is Turku PS vs Ilves played?
- Turku PS vs Ilves is played on November 13, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Veritas Stadion, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.