Match

TuS Hordel vs Gievenbeck: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 34Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

TuS HordelGievenbeck

The Footlab model makes TuS Hordel the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Gievenbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TuS Hordel vs Gievenbeck?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate TuS Hordel (1,748) and Gievenbeck (1,724).

TuS Hordel win47 %
Draw23 %
Gievenbeck win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, TuS Hordel have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Gievenbeck have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TuS Hordel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Preußen Münster II(home)4-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Westfalia Kinderhaus(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Erkenschwick(home)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Gievenbeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erkenschwick(home)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Maaslingen(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Arminia II(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Verl II(away)3-3Oberliga - Westfalen

How many goals should we expect?

TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TuS Hordel1.71.302/31/3
Gievenbeck1.91.6211/1510/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TuS Hordel sit 15th in Oberliga - Westfalen (1 points from 2 matches) and Gievenbeck sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Gievenbeck3111434
15TuS Hordel2011121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TuS Hordel vs Gievenbeck?
The Footlab model makes TuS Hordel the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Gievenbeck.
Where and when is TuS Hordel vs Gievenbeck played?
TuS Hordel vs Gievenbeck is played on May 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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