Tusker vs Police: result 1-2 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 16, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
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What was the result of Tusker vs Police?
Police won 1-2 on November 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′339852Police
- 30′620849Police
- 90′599192Tusker (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Police have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Shabana(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Sofapaka(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-3 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tusker win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Police win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Tusker 0-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Police 1-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| May 18, 2024 | Police 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Tusker 1-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Tusker 1-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Police 3-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Police | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 9th in FKF Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Police sit 3rd (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Police | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 55 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy