Tusker vs Police: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 22, 2022 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Police have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2022 | Mara Sugar(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Bidco United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 15, 2022 | Nairobi City Stars(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2022 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2022 | SONABEL(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 7, 2022 | RC Bobo-Dioulasso(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Réal du Faso(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Majestic(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 0.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 1.4 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Police | 0.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 9th in FKF Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Police sit 3rd (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Police | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31 | 21 | 55 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy