Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A SilverDivision A Silver - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Geolog, Tyumen'
The Footlab model makes Tyumen the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Irtysh Omsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk?
Tyumen starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tyumen have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Irtysh Omsk have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 4-3 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Moskva II(away) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Saturn Ramenskoye(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zenit 2(away) | 1-6 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torpedo Miass(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Silver |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tyumen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Irtysh Omsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Tyumen 2-2 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Tyumen 4-0 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Irtysh Omsk 0-3 Tyumen | Second League - Group 4 |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Tyumen 0-3 Irtysh Omsk | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 5, 2022 | Tyumen 7-2 Irtysh Omsk | Second League - Group 4 |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Irtysh Omsk 2-4 Tyumen | Second League - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk on May 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Tyumen score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Irtysh Omsk score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyumen | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Irtysh Omsk | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tyumen sit 3rd in Second League A - Division A Silver (7 points from 5 matches) and Irtysh Omsk sit 6th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tyumen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | Irtysh Omsk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk?
- The Footlab model makes Tyumen the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Irtysh Omsk.
- Where and when is Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk played?
- Tyumen vs Irtysh Omsk is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Geolog, in the Second League A - Division A Silver.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.