UD da Serra vs Nazarenos: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra
The Footlab AI model makes UD da Serra the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Nazarenos. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,626 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD da Serra vs Nazarenos?
UD da Serra starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD da Serra vs Nazarenos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD da Serra
4-3-3- 9I. Nabais
- 17D. Gameiro
- 11Vieirinha
- 23G. Isaias
- 10M. Pereira
- 20W. Costa
- 3T. F. Justino G.
- 6R. Rodrigues
- 92B. Castro
- 2T. Neto
- 1D. Santos
Nazarenos
Not enough data to predict the Nazarenos lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD da Serra have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nazarenos have 2, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 1-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Amora(away) | 4-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
UD da Serra score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nazarenos score 0.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD da Serra | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Nazarenos | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 3/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD da Serra sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (12 points from 6 matches) and Nazarenos sit 13th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UD da Serra | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about UD da Serra vs Nazarenos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD da Serra vs Nazarenos?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD da Serra the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Nazarenos.
- Where and when is UD da Serra vs Nazarenos played?
- UD da Serra vs Nazarenos is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Portela, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.