Ukraine vs Poland: result 0-1 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on June 21, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
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What was the result of Ukraine vs Poland?
Poland won 0-1 on June 21, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 54′J. BłaszczykowskiPoland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Ukraine have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Poland have 1, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2016 | Northern Ireland(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Germany(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2012 | England(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 15, 2012 | France(home) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 11, 2012 | Sweden(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2016 | Germany(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Northern Ireland(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2012 | Czechia(away) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 12, 2012 | Russia(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 8, 2012 | Greece(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ukraine score 0.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Poland score 0.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| Poland | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2 | 3/8 | 0/8 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ukraine sit 4th in Euro Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Poland sit 4th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 4 | Ukraine | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy