Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
The Footlab AI model makes Shabana the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shabana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,399 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Ulinzi Stars (1,523) and Shabana (1,570).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 10:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Shabana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ulinzi Stars wins, 3 draws, 1 Shabana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Shabana 0-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Shabana 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 2-2 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Shabana 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ulinzi Stars 4-0 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shabana vs Ulinzi Stars on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Shabana | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 12th in FKF Premier League (7 points from 7 matches) and Shabana sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Ulinzi Stars | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shabana the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana played?
- Ulinzi Stars vs Shabana is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Afraha Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.