UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 12Kick-off on September 29, 2016 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Fútbol (UNAN), Managua
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What was the result of UNAN Managua vs Real Estelí?
Real Estelí won 0-1 on September 29, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, UNAN Managua have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Real Estelí have 8, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2016 | Juventus Managua(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Walter Ferretti(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Sébaco(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Nandasmo(home) | 4-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Real Madriz(away) | 0-3 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2016 | Sébaco(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Nandasmo(away) | 6-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Real Madriz(away) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Diriangén(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
UNAN Managua score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 10; Real Estelí score 2.6 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNAN Managua | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3 | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| Real Estelí | 2.6 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNAN Managua sit 2nd in Primera Division (14 points from 6 matches) and Real Estelí sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UNAN Managua | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Real Estelí | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy