União Lamas vs Castro Daire: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim, Santa Maria de Lamas
The Footlab AI model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for União Lamas. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win União Lamas vs Castro Daire?
On Elo ratings, União Lamas has 1,796 points and Castro Daire 1,794.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for União Lamas vs Castro Daire
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
União Lamas
4-3-3- 11Joaquim Rodrigues
- 9G. Matos Monteiro
- 87V. Andrade
- 13L. Salgado
- 22R. Braga
- 6F. Melo
- 2W. Rosero
- 44D. Araujo
- 5L. P. Pinto
- 18Joao
- 1F. Enes Guimaraes
Castro Daire
4-3-3- MMarcel
- JJoão Rianço
- PPaulo Rodrigues
- TTiago Almeida
- FFred Lopes
- DDiogo
- FFilipe Soares
- PPica
- TTomás César
- RRui Pinto
- TTomás Correia
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, União Lamas have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Castro Daire have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Camacha(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sousense(away) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Guarda(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Florgrade(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alpendorada(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salgueiros(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
União Lamas score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Castro Daire score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| União Lamas | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Castro Daire | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
União Lamas sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (8 points from 7 matches) and Castro Daire sit 6th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Castro Daire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | União Lamas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
A question about União Lamas vs Castro Daire?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for União Lamas vs Castro Daire?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castro Daire the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for União Lamas.
- Where and when is União Lamas vs Castro Daire played?
- União Lamas vs Castro Daire is played on April 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Comendador Henrique Amorim, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.