Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fritz-Lesch-Sportplatz, Berlin
The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin W the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Berlin W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W?
Union Berlin W starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,815).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Berlin W
4-4-2- 23N. Bauereisen
- 10E. Campbell
- 41L. Kamber
- 77J. Janssens
- 32L. Hausicke
- 42N. Reissner
- 19S. Steuerwald
- 26A. Tysiak
- 2T. Schneider
- 5Judit Pujols
- 28N. Böhi
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin W have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mainz 05 W have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Hamburger SV W(away) | 4-3 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hamburger SV W(away) | 4-4 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nürnberg W(home) | 2-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Stuttgart W(away) | 4-0 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Magdeburg W(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen W(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim W(away) | 1-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg W(home) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ingolstadt W(away) | 6-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Union Berlin W win, 0 draws, 0 Mainz 05 W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mainz 05 W 0-2 Union Berlin W | DFB Pokal - Women |
Last archived meeting: Mainz 05 W vs Union Berlin W on Sep 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Union Berlin W score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mainz 05 W score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin W | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Mainz 05 W | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Berlin W sit 8th in Frauen Bundesliga (10 points from 8 matches) and Mainz 05 W sit 14th (0 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Berlin W | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 10 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
A question about Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin W the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Mainz 05 W.
- Where and when is Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W played?
- Union Berlin W vs Mainz 05 W is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fritz-Lesch-Sportplatz, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.