Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen III: prediction and stats
Oberliga - BremenBremen - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rollsportstadion, Bremen
The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Werder Bremen III. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen III?
Union Bremen starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Bremen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Werder Bremen III have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woltmershausen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Oberneuland(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Schwachhausen(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Geestemünde(away) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 9, 2026 | Hemelingen(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blumenthaler SV(home) | 1-7 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | OSC Bremerhaven(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vatan Sport(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 15, 2026 | Oberneuland(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bremen |
| May 10, 2026 | Sebaldsbrück(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bremen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Union Bremen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Werder Bremen III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Werder Bremen III 3-1 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Union Bremen 4-3 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Union Bremen 4-1 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Werder Bremen III 2-2 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Werder Bremen III 1-4 Union Bremen | Oberliga - Bremen |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Union Bremen 3-1 Werder Bremen III | Oberliga - Bremen |
Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen III vs Union Bremen on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Bremen score 2.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen III score 2.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Bremen | 2.6 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Werder Bremen III | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Bremen sit 7th in Oberliga - Bremen (5 points from 3 matches) and Werder Bremen III sit 16th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union Bremen | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen III | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen III?
- The Footlab model makes Union Bremen the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Werder Bremen III.
- Where and when is Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen III played?
- Union Bremen vs Werder Bremen III is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Rollsportstadion, in the Oberliga - Bremen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.