Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera: prediction and stats
Liga Panameña de FútbolApertura - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente de La Chorrera the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Union Cocle. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,151 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
Independiente de La Chorrera starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,589 vs 1,409).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Cocle
4-3-3- 19J. Lynch
- 5D. Hunt
- 12J. De la Espada
- 7F. Carmona
- 4Maiara Niehues
- 21A. Gallardo
- 25J. Reluz
- 24R. Brathwaite
- 47J. González
- 2J. Gerald
- 1J. E. Gomez Maldonado
Independiente de La Chorrera
4-3-3- 43V. Gomez
- 24J. Obando
- 20A. McKenzie
- 28M. Ruíz
- 7A. Altamirano
- 15J. Giron
- 27A. Morales
- 4D. Fori
- 13G. Negrete
- 52A. Cifuentes
- 1A. Rodríguez
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 08:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Cocle have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Independiente de La Chorrera have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | San Francisco FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Deportivo Universitario(home) | 0-2 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Veraguas(away) | 0-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Herrera(home) | 2-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sporting San Miguelito(away) | 1-3 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Herrera(away) | 5-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Nov 1, 2026 | San Francisco FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Universitario(away) | 1-0 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Veraguas(home) | 3-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Arabe Unido(home) | 1-1 | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Union Cocle wins, 2 draws, 1 Independiente de La Chorrera win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera 3-0 Union Cocle | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Union Cocle 0-0 Independiente de La Chorrera | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Independiente de La Chorrera 0-0 Union Cocle | Liga Panameña de Fútbol |
Last archived meeting: Independiente de La Chorrera vs Union Cocle on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Cocle score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente de La Chorrera score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Cocle | 0.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente de La Chorrera | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Cocle sit 12th in Liga Panameña de Fútbol (5 points from 14 matches) and Independiente de La Chorrera sit 7th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente de La Chorrera | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 12 | Union Cocle | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 5 |
A question about Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Independiente de La Chorrera the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Union Cocle.
- Where and when is Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera played?
- Union Cocle vs Independiente de La Chorrera is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.