Union Namur vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 28Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Jambes ADEPS, Jambes
The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Union Namur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Namur vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
SG-Tertre-Hautrage starts as the favourite with a 285-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Namur have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; SG-Tertre-Hautrage have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 10, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stade Mouscronnois(home) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Diksmuide(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Longlier(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sporting Bruxelles(away) | 0-1 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Flénu(home) | 3-0 | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Union Namur win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SG-Tertre-Hautrage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage 1-5 Union Namur | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Union Namur 1-1 SG-Tertre-Hautrage | Third Amateur Division - ACFF A |
Last archived meeting: SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Union Namur on Mar 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Union Namur score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SG-Tertre-Hautrage score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Namur | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Namur sit 12th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (0 points from 1 matches) and SG-Tertre-Hautrage sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Namur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Namur vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
- The Footlab model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Union Namur.
- Where and when is Union Namur vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage played?
- Union Namur vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage is played on March 13, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Jambes ADEPS, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.