Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Jambes ADEPS, Jambes
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Union Namur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Mouscronnois wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois?
Stade Mouscronnois starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,949 vs 1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Union Namur
Not enough data to predict the Union Namur lineup.
Stade Mouscronnois
Not enough data to predict the Stade Mouscronnois lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Namur have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Stade Mouscronnois have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(home) | 0-4 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ostiches(away) | 0-3 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jette(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Acren-Lessines(away) | 1-4 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Braine(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Huy(away) | 1-6 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Richelle United(home) | 6-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ganshoren(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Entité Manageoise(home) | 3-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 4-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Namur score 0.8 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Mouscronnois score 2.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Namur | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Stade Mouscronnois | 2.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Namur sit 17th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (4 points from 10 matches) and Stade Mouscronnois sit 4th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 22 | 17 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 4 |
A question about Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Union Namur.
- Where and when is Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois played?
- Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois is played on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Jambes ADEPS, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.