Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 14Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Jambes ADEPS, Jambes
The Footlab model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Union Namur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois?
Stade Mouscronnois starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Namur have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Stade Mouscronnois have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 10, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Marke(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Péruwelz(home) | 6-1 | Provincial - Hainaut |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Rapid Symphorinois(away) | 3-1 | Provincial - Hainaut |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Namur score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Mouscronnois score 3.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Namur | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Stade Mouscronnois | 3.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Namur sit 12th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (0 points from 1 matches) and Stade Mouscronnois sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Stade Mouscronnois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Union Namur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois?
- The Footlab model makes Stade Mouscronnois the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Union Namur.
- Where and when is Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois played?
- Union Namur vs Stade Mouscronnois is played on November 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Jambes ADEPS, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.