Union Sandersdorf vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sport- und Freizeitzentrum Sandersdorf, Sandersdorf-Brehna
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Union Sandersdorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Sandersdorf vs SC Freital?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Union Sandersdorf (1,705) and SC Freital (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Sandersdorf have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weissenfels(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 9, 2026 | Bischofswerdaer FV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Union Sandersdorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SC Freital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf 1-0 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 20, 2025 | SC Freital 3-0 Union Sandersdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Union Sandersdorf 0-3 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 30, 2024 | SC Freital 1-2 Union Sandersdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Union Sandersdorf 2-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SC Freital 0-1 Union Sandersdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Union Sandersdorf vs SC Freital on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Sandersdorf score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Sandersdorf | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Sandersdorf sit 7th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Union Sandersdorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Sandersdorf vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Union Sandersdorf.
- Where and when is Union Sandersdorf vs SC Freital played?
- Union Sandersdorf vs SC Freital is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sport- und Freizeitzentrum Sandersdorf, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.