Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res.: prediction and stats
Reserve LeagueClausura - 18Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Super Manuel Corral, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Santa Fe Res. the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Instituto Res.. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Santa Fe Res. wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res.?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Unión Santa Fe Res. (1,737) and Instituto Res. (1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res.
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Santa Fe Res.
Not enough data to predict the Unión Santa Fe Res. lineup.
Instituto Res.
Not enough data to predict the Instituto Res. lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Santa Fe Res. have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Instituto Res. have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Atlético Tucumán Res.(away) | 0-0 | Reserve League |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Godoy Cruz Res.(home) | 2-3 | Reserve League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2(away) | 0-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Barracas Central Res.(home) | 1-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Talleres Córdoba Res.(away) | 0-3 | Reserve League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Atlético Tucumán Res.(away) | 2-2 | Reserve League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Vélez Sársfield Res.(home) | 0-2 | Reserve League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Godoy Cruz Res.(away) | 1-1 | Reserve League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | River Plate Res.(home) | 3-2 | Reserve League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gimnasia Mendoza 2(away) | 1-1 | Reserve League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Unión Santa Fe Res. wins, 0 draws, 2 Instituto Res. wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Instituto Res. 0-2 Unión Santa Fe Res. | Reserve League |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Instituto Res. 1-0 Unión Santa Fe Res. | Reserve League |
| Mar 19, 2025 | Unión Santa Fe Res. 1-0 Instituto Res. | Reserve League |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Instituto Res. 1-0 Unión Santa Fe Res. | Reserve League |
Last archived meeting: Instituto Res. vs Unión Santa Fe Res. on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Santa Fe Res. score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Instituto Res. score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Santa Fe Res. | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Instituto Res. | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Santa Fe Res. sit 23rd in Reserve League (18 points from 17 matches) and Instituto Res. sit 20th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Instituto Res. | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe Res. | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res.?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res.?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Santa Fe Res. the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Instituto Res..
- Where and when is Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res. played?
- Unión Santa Fe Res. vs Instituto Res. is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Super Manuel Corral, in the Reserve League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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