Unirea Alba Iulia vs Nera Bogodinţi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal Victoria, Alba Iulia
The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nera Bogodinţi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unirea Alba Iulia vs Nera Bogodinţi?
Unirea Alba Iulia is a heavy favourite: 1,739 Elo points against 1,372, a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Alba Iulia have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Nera Bogodinţi have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(away) | 4-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2022 | Gloria al Oraşului Geoag(away) | 0-13 | Cupa României |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Turceni(home) | 0-4 | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Unirea Alba Iulia score 1.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nera Bogodinţi score 0.0 and concede 8.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unirea Alba Iulia | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Nera Bogodinţi | 0.0 | 8.5 | 0 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 71 | 12 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unirea Alba Iulia vs Nera Bogodinţi?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Nera Bogodinţi.
- Where and when is Unirea Alba Iulia vs Nera Bogodinţi played?
- Unirea Alba Iulia vs Nera Bogodinţi is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal Victoria, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.