Unirea Tășnad vs Academica Recea: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Unirea Tăşnad, Tășnad
The Footlab model makes Unirea Tășnad the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Academica Recea. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unirea Tășnad vs Academica Recea?
Unirea Tășnad starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,509 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unirea Tășnad have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Academica Recea have 0, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Crişul Sântandrei(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 23, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Minerul Rodna(away) | 2-16 | Cupa României |
| Jul 12, 2023 | Ştiinţa Beltiug(home) | 1-8 | Cupa României |
How many goals should we expect?
Unirea Tășnad score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Academica Recea score 1.5 and concede 12.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unirea Tășnad | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Academica Recea | 1.5 | 12.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unirea Tășnad | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unirea Tășnad vs Academica Recea?
- The Footlab model makes Unirea Tășnad the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Academica Recea.
- Where and when is Unirea Tășnad vs Academica Recea played?
- Unirea Tășnad vs Academica Recea is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Unirea Tăşnad, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.