United States W U17 vs Samoa U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes United States W U17 the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Samoa U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win United States W U17 vs Samoa U17 W?
United States W U17 is a heavy favourite: 1,783 Elo points against 1,450, a 334-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United States W U17 have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Samoa U17 W have 0, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Canada W U17(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chile U17 W(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Women |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Puerto Rico W U17(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Haiti W U17(away) | 9-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bermuda W U17(home) | 18-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Nigeria U17 W(home) | 0-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Canada W U17(home) | 0-6 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
| Oct 19, 2025 | France U17 W(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - U17 - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
United States W U17 score 4.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Samoa U17 W score 0.7 and concede 4.7. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States W U17 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
| Samoa U17 W | 0.7 | 4.7 | 0 | 1/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for United States W U17 vs Samoa U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes United States W U17 the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Samoa U17 W.
- Where and when is United States W U17 vs Samoa U17 W played?
- United States W U17 vs Samoa U17 W is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.