Universidad Catolica vs Cerro Largo: result 3-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on April 11, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Universidad Catolica vs Cerro Largo?
Universidad Catolica won 3-1 on April 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′A. LondoñoUniversidad Catolica
- 45′I. DíazUniversidad Catolica
- 75′B. FerrarésCerro Largo
- 90′I. DíazUniversidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cerro Largo have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Macara(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Cuniburo(away) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Penarol(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Largo score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerro Largo | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 1st in CONMEBOL Sudamericana (14 points from 6 matches) and Cerro Largo sit 2nd (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Catolica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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