Universidad Catolica vs Emelec: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 16Kick-off on June 26, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Universidad Catolica and Emelec drew 1-1 on June 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′C. CuevaEmelec (pen.)
- 90′B. PalaciosUniversidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Emelec have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| May 29, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 24, 2025 | LDU de Quito(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 18, 2025 | Delfin SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Delfin SC(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 25, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| May 18, 2025 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| May 11, 2025 | Aucas(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Universidad Catolica win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Emelec 0-4 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Universidad Catolica 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 5, 2024 | Emelec 2-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Emelec 2-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| May 20, 2023 | Universidad Catolica 3-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Universidad Catolica 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs Universidad Catolica on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Emelec | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (43 points from 26 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy