Universidad Catolica vs Emelec: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga Pro1st Round - 11Kick-off on May 20, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Universidad Catolica won 3-2 on May 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 24′M. DíazUniversidad Catolica (pen.)
- 48′J. YépezUniversidad Catolica
- 56′A. CabezaEmelec
- 77′M. DíazUniversidad Catolica
- 86′J. SánchezEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Emelec have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | Delfin SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 6, 2023 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 29, 2023 | LDU de Quito(home) | 0-4 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Gualaceo SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Orense SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2023 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 7, 2023 | Cumbayá(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| May 4, 2023 | Club Guarani(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Universidad Catolica win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Emelec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Universidad Catolica 2-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 21, 2022 | Emelec 0-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Sep 27, 2021 | Emelec 2-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Universidad Catolica 2-3 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Emelec 2-0 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Universidad Catolica 4-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Universidad Catolica vs Emelec on Oct 16, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Emelec | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (43 points from 26 matches) and Emelec sit 13th (29 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy