Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 2, 2013 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle?
Universidad Catolica won 1-0 on March 2, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 10′F. LauritoUniversidad Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universidad Catolica have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | LDU Loja(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Manta FC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 10, 2013 | Deportivo Quevedo(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 30, 2013 | Emelec(home) | 0-4 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 26, 2013 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | Macara(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Barcelona SC(away) | 5-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Deportivo Quito(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 31, 2013 | LDU Loja(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jan 26, 2013 | Manta FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Universidad Catolica score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universidad Catolica sit 3rd in Liga Pro (43 points from 26 matches) and Independiente del Valle sit 1st (67 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 23 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy