University of Pretoria vs Upington City: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Tuks Stadium, Pretoria (Tshwane)
The Footlab model makes University of Pretoria the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Upington City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win University of Pretoria vs Upington City?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate University of Pretoria (1,605) and Upington City (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, University of Pretoria have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Upington City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hope FC(away) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(home) | 6-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Upington City(away) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 University of Pretoria win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Upington City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Upington City 2-2 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
| Oct 25, 2025 | University of Pretoria 1-2 Upington City | 1st Division |
| May 11, 2025 | University of Pretoria 0-2 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Upington City 0-0 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
| Feb 16, 2024 | University of Pretoria 2-1 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Upington City 2-1 University of Pretoria | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Upington City vs University of Pretoria on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
University of Pretoria score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Pretoria | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
University of Pretoria sit 16th in 1st Division (0 points from 1 matches) and Upington City sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | University of Pretoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for University of Pretoria vs Upington City?
- The Footlab model makes University of Pretoria the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Upington City.
- Where and when is University of Pretoria vs Upington City played?
- University of Pretoria vs Upington City is played on January 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Tuks Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.