Upington City vs Lerumo Lions: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Suzuki Stadium, Kimberley
The Footlab model makes Upington City the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Lerumo Lions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Upington City vs Lerumo Lions?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Upington City (1,631) and Lerumo Lions (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Upington City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Lerumo Lions have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Venda FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Black Leopards(home) | 4-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Highbury(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Upington City win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lerumo Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Lerumo Lions 0-2 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Upington City 3-0 Lerumo Lions | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Lerumo Lions vs Upington City on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lerumo Lions score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Lerumo Lions | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Upington City sit 10th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Lerumo Lions sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Upington City vs Lerumo Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Upington City the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Lerumo Lions.
- Where and when is Upington City vs Lerumo Lions played?
- Upington City vs Lerumo Lions is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Suzuki Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.