Upington City vs Midlands Wanderers: prediction and stats
1st DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Suzuki Stadium, Kimberley
The Footlab model makes Upington City the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Midlands Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Upington City vs Midlands Wanderers?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Upington City (1,631) and Midlands Wanderers (1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Upington City have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Midlands Wanderers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NWU FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | Baroka FC(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Casric Stars(home) | 0-2 | 1st Division |
| May 2, 2026 | Hungry Lions(away) | 0-0 | 1st Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | University of Pretoria(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magesi(home) | 0-1 | 1st Division |
| May 17, 2026 | University of Pretoria(away) | 2-6 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Lerumo Lions(home) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Gomora United FC(away) | 1-1 | 1st Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Highbury(away) | 1-3 | 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Upington City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Midlands Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Midlands Wanderers 2-1 Upington City | 1st Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Upington City 2-1 Midlands Wanderers | 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: Midlands Wanderers vs Upington City on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Upington City score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Midlands Wanderers score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upington City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Midlands Wanderers | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Upington City sit 10th in 1st Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Midlands Wanderers sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Upington City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Midlands Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Upington City vs Midlands Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Upington City the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Midlands Wanderers.
- Where and when is Upington City vs Midlands Wanderers played?
- Upington City vs Midlands Wanderers is played on April 7, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Suzuki Stadium, in the 1st Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.