URA vs UPDF: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on March 7, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of URA vs UPDF?
URA won 2-1 on March 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′?URA
- 61′?UPDF
- 66′?URA
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, URA have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; UPDF have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Kitara(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Maroons(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SC Villa(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | SC Villa(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Mbarara City(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Kitara(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Express(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 URA wins, 4 draws, 0 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2024 | UPDF 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2024 | URA 1-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | UPDF 0-0 URA | Premier League |
| May 12, 2023 | URA 1-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2022 | UPDF 1-1 URA | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2022 | UPDF 0-1 URA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
URA score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.8 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| URA | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| UPDF | 0.8 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
URA sit 15th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and UPDF sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
A question about URA vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy