Urania Baška Voda vs Otok: result 4-1 and analysis
Third NL - JugSouth - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2020 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Športski Centar Ante Jurišić, Baška Voda
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What was the result of Urania Baška Voda vs Otok?
Urania Baška Voda won 4-1 on October 4, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urania Baška Voda have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Otok have 2, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | Hrvace(away) | 0-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Neretvanac Opuzen(home) | 2-1 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 16, 2020 | GOŠK Dubrovnik(away) | 1-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Uskok Klis(home) | 0-1 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Zmaj Blato(away) | 0-4 | Third NL - Jug |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | GOŠK Dubrovnik(home) | 4-3 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Uskok Klis(away) | 0-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Zmaj Blato(home) | 4-1 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Vodice(away) | 2-2 | Third NL - Jug |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Hrvatski vitez(away) | 1-1 | Third NL - Jug |
How many goals should we expect?
Urania Baška Voda score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Otok score 2.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urania Baška Voda | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Otok | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 5/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy