Uruguay vs Italy: result 4-4 and analysis
Confederations Cup3rd Place FinalKick-off on June 30, 2013 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Uruguay vs Italy?
Uruguay and Italy drew 4-4 on June 30, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 24′Davide AstoriItaly
- 58′E. CavaniUruguay
- 73′A. DiamantiItaly
- 78′E. CavaniUruguay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Uruguay have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Italy have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2013 | Brazil(away) | 1-2 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 23, 2013 | Tahiti(home) | 8-0 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 20, 2013 | Nigeria(away) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 16, 2013 | Spain(away) | 1-2 | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 10, 2010 | Germany(home) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2013 | Spain(away) | 0-0 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 22, 2013 | Brazil(home) | 2-4 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 19, 2013 | Japan(home) | 4-3 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 16, 2013 | Mexico(away) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Uruguay score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 11; Italy score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
| Italy | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy