USA vs Costa Rica: result 2-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on June 29, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Costa Rica?
USA and Costa Rica drew 2-2 on June 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′F. CalvoCosta Rica (pen.)
- 43′D. LunaUSA
- 47′M. ArfstenUSA
- 71′A. MartínezCosta Rica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Costa Rica have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2025 | Haiti(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 5-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Switzerland(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Türkiye(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2025 | Mexico(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Dominican Republic(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Suriname(home) | 4-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Bahamas(away) | 8-0 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 USA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Costa Rica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | USA 3-0 Costa Rica | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2022 | Costa Rica 2-0 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Oct 13, 2021 | USA 2-1 Costa Rica | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 9, 2021 | USA 4-0 Costa Rica | Friendlies |
| Feb 1, 2020 | USA 1-0 Costa Rica | Friendlies |
| Feb 2, 2019 | USA 2-0 Costa Rica | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica score 2.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Costa Rica | 2.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USA sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (9 points from 3 matches) and Costa Rica sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy