USA vs Mexico: result 3-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueFinalKick-off on June 7, 2021 at 01:00 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
Full time
What was the result of USA vs Mexico?
USA won 3-2 on June 7, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 1′J. CoronaMexico
- 27′G. ReynaUSA
- 79′D. LainezMexico
- 82′W. McKennieUSA
- 114′C. PulišićUSA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USA have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Mexico have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2021 | Honduras(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| May 30, 2021 | Switzerland(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Northern Ireland(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Jamaica(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 1, 2021 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2021 | Costa Rica(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| May 30, 2021 | Iceland(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Costa Rica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Wales(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Japan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 USA win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mexico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2019 | USA 0-3 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Jul 8, 2019 | Mexico 1-0 USA | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Sep 12, 2018 | USA 1-0 Mexico | Friendlies |
| Jun 12, 2017 | Mexico 1-1 USA | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 12, 2016 | USA 1-2 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
USA score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Mexico | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy