USM Alger vs JS Saoura: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
The Footlab model makes USM Alger the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for JS Saoura. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Alger vs JS Saoura?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate USM Alger (1,914) and JS Saoura (1,951).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Alger have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; JS Saoura have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | CS Constantine(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | El Bayadh(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | Mostaganem(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Khenchela(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 USM Alger win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 JS Saoura win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | USM Alger 1-0 JS Saoura | Coupe Nationale |
| Feb 21, 2026 | USM Alger 1-2 JS Saoura | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | JS Saoura 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | JS Saoura 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | USM Alger 2-0 JS Saoura | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2024 | JS Saoura 2-1 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: USM Alger vs JS Saoura on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; JS Saoura score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| JS Saoura | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Alger sit 10th in Ligue 1 (39 points from 30 matches) and JS Saoura sit 2nd (55 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | JS Saoura | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 26 | 55 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Alger vs JS Saoura?
- The Footlab model makes USM Alger the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for JS Saoura.
- Where and when is USM Alger vs JS Saoura played?
- USM Alger vs JS Saoura is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.