USM Alger vs MC Oran: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for MC Oran. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USM Alger vs MC Oran?
On Elo ratings, USM Alger has 1,906 points and MC Oran 1,873.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for USM Alger vs MC Oran
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
USM Alger
4-3-3- 15M. Ramdaoui
- 24M. Bouderbala
- 26G. Guenaoui
- 11G. Likonza
- 6Z. Draoui
- 8A. Benguit
- 12H. Loucif
- 19S. Radouani
- 28A. Abada
- 5I. Azzi
- 25O. Benbot
MC Oran
4-3-3- 21M. Abdelkader
- 26I. Saâdi
- 28Ahmed Ghenam
- 8J. Aguieb
- 6O. Embarek
- 17C. Aoudjane
- 20M. Belkhither
- 24A. Kerroum
- 5M. Hadded
- 12O. Kaddour
- 1M. Zeghba
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USM Alger have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; MC Oran have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | JS El Biar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | ES Setif(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | ASO Chlef(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Témouchent(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 USM Alger wins, 2 draws, 2 MC Oran wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran 2-2 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | USM Alger 1-1 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | MC Oran 4-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 26, 2024 | USM Alger 3-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2024 | MC Oran 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | USM Alger 2-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MC Oran score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| MC Oran | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USM Alger sit 4th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and MC Oran sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MC Oran | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | USM Alger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about USM Alger vs MC Oran?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USM Alger vs MC Oran?
- The Footlab AI model makes USM Alger the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for MC Oran.
- Where and when is USM Alger vs MC Oran played?
- USM Alger vs MC Oran is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.