Ústí nad Labem vs Třinec: prediction and stats
FNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Městský stadion, Ústí nad Labem
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Třinec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Labem vs Třinec?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Ústí nad Labem (1,930) and Třinec (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Labem have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Třinec have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Dukla Praha(home) | 3-1 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec(away) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Česká Lípa(home) | 3-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hanácká(away) | 2-0 | FNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ústí nad Labem win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Třinec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Třinec 0-0 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| May 14, 2022 | Ústí nad Labem 3-2 Třinec | FNL |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Třinec 2-3 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| May 5, 2021 | Třinec 1-0 Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Ústí nad Labem 0-1 Třinec | FNL |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Ústí nad Labem 3-3 Třinec | FNL |
Last archived meeting: Třinec vs Ústí nad Labem on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Labem score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ústí nad Labem | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Labem vs Třinec?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Labem the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Třinec.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Labem vs Třinec played?
- Ústí nad Labem vs Třinec is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Městský stadion, in the FNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.