Ústí nad Orlicí vs Trutnov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, Ústí nad Orlicí
The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Trutnov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ústí nad Orlicí vs Trutnov?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Ústí nad Orlicí (1,661) and Trutnov (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ústí nad Orlicí have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Trutnov have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chrudim II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Turnov(away) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 2-5 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spartak Police n/Metují(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Hradec Králové(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Trutnov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2025 | Trutnov 2-0 Ústí nad Orlicí | Cup |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Ústí nad Orlicí 2-0 Trutnov | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Trutnov 2-5 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Trutnov 1-2 Ústí nad Orlicí | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Ústí nad Orlicí 1-3 Trutnov | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Trutnov 0-4 Ústí nad Orlicí | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Trutnov vs Ústí nad Orlicí on Aug 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trutnov score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Trutnov | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st in 4. liga - Divizie C (7 points from 3 matches) and Trutnov sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Trutnov | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ústí nad Orlicí vs Trutnov?
- The Footlab model makes Ústí nad Orlicí the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Trutnov.
- Where and when is Ústí nad Orlicí vs Trutnov played?
- Ústí nad Orlicí vs Trutnov is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.