USV Iaşi vs FC Bacău II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul USV Iași, Iași
The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for FC Bacău II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win USV Iaşi vs FC Bacău II?
USV Iaşi starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,380 vs 1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, USV Iaşi have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Bacău II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sporting Lieşti(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bradul Putna(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Stiinta Miroslava(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | CSM Adjud(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bucovina Rădăuţi(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 USV Iaşi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Bacău II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | USV Iaşi 2-1 FC Bacău II | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | FC Bacău II 2-3 USV Iaşi | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | USV Iaşi 3-2 FC Bacău II | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: USV Iaşi vs FC Bacău II on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
USV Iaşi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Bacău II score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USV Iaşi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Bacău II | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
USV Iaşi sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 1 (37 points from 7 matches) and FC Bacău II sit 8th (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | USV Iaşi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Bacău II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for USV Iaşi vs FC Bacău II?
- The Footlab model makes USV Iaşi the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for FC Bacău II.
- Where and when is USV Iaşi vs FC Bacău II played?
- USV Iaşi vs FC Bacău II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul USV Iași, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.