UTC Cajamarca vs Cerro: result 1-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL Sudamericana1st RoundKick-off on April 4, 2019 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca
Full time
What was the result of UTC Cajamarca vs Cerro?
UTC Cajamarca and Cerro drew 1-1 on April 4, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 37′R. IzquierdoCerro
- 39′?UTC Cajamarca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UTC Cajamarca have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Cerro have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | Alianza Lima(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2019 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 21, 2019 | FBC Melgar(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 15, 2019 | Deportivo Binacional(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Mar 11, 2019 | Alianza Universidad(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 24, 2019 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 3, 2019 | Danubio(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
UTC Cajamarca score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy