Utebo vs Ebro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab model makes Utebo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Ebro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Ebro?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Utebo (1,909) and Ebro (1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ebro have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utebo(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eibar II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Beasain(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Utebo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ebro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Utebo 1-0 Ebro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Ebro 3-1 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Utebo 3-0 Ebro | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebro score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Ebro | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Utebo sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (58 points from 34 matches) and Ebro sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Utebo | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 58 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42 | 36 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Ebro?
- The Footlab model makes Utebo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Ebro.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Ebro played?
- Utebo vs Ebro is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.